World 1.0
|
World 2.0
|
110 successive months of job growth
|
10 million jobless claims in 2 weeks
|
10 year bull market across sectors
|
Winners and losers with extreme outcome inequality
|
Full employment
|
30% unemployment
|
Base rate thinking
|
First principles thinking
|
Physical
|
Digital
|
Office by default
|
Remote by default
|
Office for work
|
Office for connection, community, ecosystem, makerspaces
|
Suit, tie, wristwatch, business card
|
Good lighting, microphone, webcam, home office background
|
Commute + traffic jams
|
Home + family
|
Last mile
|
Only mile
|
Restaurants
|
Groceries + delivery
|
$4 toast
|
Sourdough starter
|
Walkscore
|
Speedtest
|
Cities
|
Internet
|
$100k for college
|
Not paying $100k for a webinar
|
City
|
Countryside
|
YIMBY
|
NIMBY
|
Internal issues
|
Exogenous shock
|
Lots of little problems
|
One big problem
|
Stupid bullshit
|
Actual issues
|
Too much technology
|
Too little technology
|
Complacency
|
Action
|
Years
|
Days
|
Policy
|
Capacity
|
Ideology
|
Competence
|
Assume some government competence
|
Assume zero government competence
|
Institutions
|
Ghost ships
|
WHO
|
Who?
|
Trusted institutions
|
Trusted people
|
Globalization
|
Decoupling
|
Just-in-time
|
Stockpile
|
Tail risk is kooky
|
Tail risk is mainstream
|
NATO
|
Asia
|
Boomers most powerful
|
Boomers most vulnerable
|
Productivity growth collapse
|
Economic collapse
|
Social services Democrat
|
UBI Communist
|
Propaganda
|
Propaganda
|
Deficit hawks
|
MMT
|
Corporate debt
|
Government debt
|
Techlash
|
Tech a pillar of civilization and lifeline to billions
|
Break up Amazon
|
Don’t break up Amazon!!!
|
Avoiding social issues
|
Avoiding layoffs
|
Sports
|
Esports
|
Phone is a cigarette
|
Phone is oxygen
|
Resource depletion
|
$20 oil, $0.75 watt solar, <$100/kwh batteries
|
Stasis
|
Change
|
Low volatility
|
High volatility
|
Design
|
Logistics
|
Extrovert
|
Introvert
|
Open
|
Closed
|
20th century
|
21st century
|
